Copa do Brasil Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Internacional vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SCI
3 - 2
BOT
62%
23%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 1
FLA
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GOI
2 - 1
SCI
20%
29%
50%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 0
SCI
62%
22%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
SCI
26%
30%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VAS
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRZ
16%
26%
58%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRZ
22%
28%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SCI
48%
28%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |