Internacional SC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.9%
78.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
18.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 1
INT
71%
18%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
INT
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INT
0 - 0
CAC
11%
21%
68%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NES
3 - 0
INT
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
NES
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |