Instituto vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
INS
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
2 - 1
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
RSA
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
3 - 0
INS
30%
30%
40%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 1
DAL
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
DAL
0 - 1
GIM
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 1
DAL
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
DAL
0 - 0
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 2
DAL
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |