Instituto vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 4
INS
18%
26%
56%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
RAF
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GBR
2 - 0
INS
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
INS
3 - 0
SUA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
INS
2 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
SAC
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MIT
2 - 0
EST
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
FER
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
IRV
2 - 0
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
QUI
37%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |