Institute vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
DUN
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 2
INS
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
AUN
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 1
INS
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
2 - 1
PSN
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
PSN
1 - 3
NEY
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
BAL
5 - 0
PSN
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
INS
0 - 3
PSN
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
LIN
6 - 0
PSN
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 77 | 42 | 0 |