England U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ENG
2 - 0
ISR
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
CZE
0 - 2
ENG
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 2
CRO
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
4 - 0
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 1
GER
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CZE
2 - 1
GER
12%
18%
70%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
GER
3 - 1
SUI
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ROU
0 - 0
GER
15%
19%
66%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GER
2 - 2
JPN
84%
11%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 4
GER
28%
24%
49%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |