England U20 vs Germany U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
CZE
1 - 1
ENG
16%
18%
67%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
42%
23%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
NLD
3 - 1
ENG
14%
17%
69%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 0
CHE
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ENG
3 - 0
PRT
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 3
DEU
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
DEU
3 - 2
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
DEU
1 - 1
NLD
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
DEU
3 - 2
CZE
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
DEU
3 - 0
POL
49%
22%
29%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |