England U17 vs San Marino U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 0
ENG
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ENG
0 - 1
RUS
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
ENG
1 - 0
IRL
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
ENG
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
5 - 1
SMR
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SMR
0 - 4
NOR
20%
21%
60%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
AUT
2 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 0
SMR
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 12
NED
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |