Indy Eleven vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
IND
51%
22%
28%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 4
CHA
22%
26%
53%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
5 - 3
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 2
DET
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
NMU
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
CCF
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 13 | 45 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
BLE
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DET
1 - 0
CAR
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
HAA
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |