Indonesia vs Vietnam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 0
IDN
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
3 - 1
IDN
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
VNM
0 - 1
IDN
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 3
IRQ
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 5
IRN
10%
20%
70%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Vietnam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
3 - 2
VNM
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
VNM
0 - 1
IDN
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
4 - 2
VNM
89%
8%
3%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
KGZ
2 - 1
VNM
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
VNM
0 - 1
IRQ
27%
27%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |