Independiente vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
IND
39%
28%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
SMA
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
BOC
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
IND
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
SCI
3 - 1
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
COL
3 - 1
SLO
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 0
COL
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
CAU
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
COL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
ALB
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |