Independiente vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 0
OLI
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 2
IND
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
IND
0 - 0
ARS
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 0
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
GOD
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 2
COL
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
TEM
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
COL
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
SUA
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
COL
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |