Independiente vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
RAC
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
CCS
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
GOD
3 - 3
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
IND
2 - 2
BOC
35%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 0
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
CFE
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
GYT
2 - 1
CEN
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 0
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
JUU
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
SLP
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |