Superliga Final
Global 0-1
Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 0
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
SFE
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
MIL
3 - 1
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
IND
3 - 2
CHI
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ONC
1 - 2
IND
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 0
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
SFE
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 4
SFE
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 0
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |