Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 0-3
Independiente Medellín vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
SCI
3 - 1
IND
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
IND
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
RIV
34%
27%
40%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
SLO
52%
26%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
CEN
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SLO
4 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
SLO
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |