Independiente Medellín vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
IND
1 - 4
QUI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 3
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 1
IND
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 3
IND
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
ACA
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIL
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |