Independiente Medellín vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
12.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
IND
2 - 2
JUN
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HUI
1 - 1
IND
34%
27%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
SFE
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ONC
2 - 2
IND
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAT
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
FOR
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
JUN
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
HUI
3 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |