Copa Colombia Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Independiente Medellín vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 2
IND
26%
26%
47%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
CUC
0 - 1
IND
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
BUC
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
IND
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
REA
0 - 0
CUC
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
CUC
0 - 1
IND
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CUC
4 - 3
PAT
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 0
CUC
10%
23%
67%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CUC
2 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |