Independiente Medellín vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
IND
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 0
IND
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
PER
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
MIL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
TOL
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
PER
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |