Independiente Medellín vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
IND
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
IND
4 - 0
AGU
53%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SFE
1 - 0
IND
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
JUN
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EQU
2 - 0
IND
33%
28%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
AME
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
ONC
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 0
AME
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
EQU
43%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 0
AME
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |