Independente SP vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
XVD
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
COM
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
IND
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
COM
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |