IMT Novi Beograd vs Sremska Mitrovica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
3º
2º
42
4º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
INI
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RNB
0 - 2
NOV
9%
21%
70%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 0
SLO
80%
15%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOV
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sremska Mitrovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 0
RAD
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
LOZ
1 - 0
RSM
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 0
MAV
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RSM
0 - 0
VRS
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
RSM
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |