Imperial de Bonete vs Casasimarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imperial de Bonete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
BON
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BON
3 - 3
MUN
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DBA
2 - 0
BON
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BON
1 - 0
CVA
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BON
2 - 1
TAR
42%
24%
34%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
TAR
33%
25%
43%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ALP
2 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
HIG
40%
23%
37%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 0
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |