Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 5-2
CD Illescas vs CD Quintanar del Rey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
QRE
2 - 3
ILL
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 0
VRU
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VRU
0 - 1
ILL
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
5 - 1
CDT
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UBC
2 - 0
ILL
32%
26%
43%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Quintanar del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
QRE
2 - 3
ILL
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
QRE
1 - 0
CSP
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSP
1 - 1
QRE
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
QRE
4 - 0
LSO
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
QRE
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |