Iguatu vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 0
UNI
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
IGU
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
IGU
2 - 1
FER
14%
22%
64%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
IGU
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 2
IGU
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
ARN
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
39%
25%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 2
ARN
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
ARN
13%
22%
66%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 0
ALE
86%
11%
4%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | +1 |