Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 1-3
IFK Göteborg vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
GÖT
2 - 0
FAL
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
DJU
3 - 1
GÖT
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
HJK
0 - 2
GÖT
39%
25%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JON
1 - 1
GÖT
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
GÖT
1 - 2
HJK
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
SUM
0 - 2
QAR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 1
QAR
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
QAR
1 - 1
VKP
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
VKP
0 - 0
QAR
70%
18%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
F91
1 - 1
QAR
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |