Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
BRI
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 1
HAN
69%
17%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 0
BIL
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
HOR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 2
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 3
BAR
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
KID
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 2
DOR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
EBB
0 - 1
DOR
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 2
ROC
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |