AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 1
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ESB
0 - 0
ACH
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 4
AAB
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ELF
2 - 3
ACH
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
SON
0 - 2
ACH
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AGF
0 - 1
FCN
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FCK
3 - 0
AGF
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AGF
3 - 1
BIF
37%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RAN
2 - 1
AGF
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
GOR
3 - 1
AGF
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |