WC Play Offs Final
Global 1-3
Honduras vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
HND
3 - 2
MEX
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CRC
1 - 1
HND
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
HND
1 - 1
USA
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TTO
1 - 2
HND
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
HND
71%
18%
10%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 1
SYR
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
SYR
1 - 1
AUS
29%
26%
46%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 1
THA
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
JPN
2 - 0
AUS
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
AUS
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |