Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Honduras Progreso vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 2
HNP
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
HNP
5 - 2
RDM
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 1
HNP
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 5
OLI
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
MOT
5 - 2
HNP
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 2
HNP
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 1
VID
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
RES
1 - 1
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 0
PLA
40%
26%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |