Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 0
HNP
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
HNP
5 - 1
PLA
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RES
3 - 2
HNP
60%
21%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUT
3 - 1
HNP
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
HNP
4 - 3
MAR
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RSO
0 - 2
MOT
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
RSO
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
RSO
65%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 0
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 2
JAG
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |