Bundesliga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 2-5
Holstein Kiel vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
KOL
0 - 1
HOL
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 3
DAR
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
KSC
3 - 2
HOL
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
HOL
3 - 2
SSV
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
HAN
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
KOL
0 - 1
HOL
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 0
S04
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
KOL
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 4
SCF
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
AUG
2 - 3
KOL
38%
25%
38%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |