Netherlands U19 vs Luxembourg U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NLD
1 - 1
AUS
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SVN
0 - 0
NLD
19%
23%
57%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NLD
0 - 0
NIR
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NLD
2 - 0
MDA
89%
9%
2%
|
62 | 27 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
UKR
2 - 1
NLD
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LUX
1 - 4
DNK
6%
15%
80%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
4 - 0
LUX
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 76 | 48 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
UKR
1 - 2
LUX
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
LUX
1 - 0
AZE
16%
21%
62%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BGR
0 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |