AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Noblejas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SCU
4 - 1
HAL
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
T66
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ADS
2 - 2
HAL
78%
14%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 7
SON
26%
23%
51%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADS
2 - 1
HAL
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Noblejas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 2
VIL
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 2
NOB
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NOB
1 - 1
AAL
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 1
NOB
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 0
TOL
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |