HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
12º
2º
30
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 2
VAA
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
INT
0 - 1
HJK
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HJK
0 - 0
EKE
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAK
1 - 1
HJK
27%
26%
48%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SEI
3 - 3
HJK
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
GNI
0 - 0
KUO
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 1
GNI
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
VJS
3 - 0
GNI
11%
16%
74%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GNI
0 - 3
HAK
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GNI
0 - 1
SEI
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |