Hibernian FC vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
12º
7º
43
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 2
HIB
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 3
GLA
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
HIB
6%
13%
81%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SER
5 - 1
HIB
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 2
MHE
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
STM
0 - 1
GLA
21%
25%
55%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
STM
1 - 0
QOS
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
STM
0 - 3
CEL
19%
23%
59%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 3
STM
53%
24%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
STM
0 - 1
KIL
41%
30%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |