Hibernian FC vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
12º
7º
18
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 5
ASV
18%
23%
60%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 1
RAI
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 2
HIB
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MHE
2 - 1
HIB
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
HIB
3 - 1
FCL
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 0
AYR
54%
23%
22%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GLA
4 - 0
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 0
ABE
30%
28%
43%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 0
CLY
85%
12%
4%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
COV
0 - 5
LIV
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |