CONCACAF Champions Cup 1/16
Global 4-4
CS Herediano vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
CSH
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 1
SAP
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CSH
0 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 1
CSH
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CSH
1 - 0
PER
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 1
LEO
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOL
32%
25%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 1
MAZ
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
QRO
2 - 2
TOL
22%
25%
54%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |