Hércules vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
HER
3 - 2
ALC
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
HER
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
RAY
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
REC
0 - 2
ELC
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
REC
1 - 2
CEL
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
REC
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
REC
1 - 2
ATM
19%
23%
58%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
REC
0 - 0
GRA
47%
27%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |