Hercules SD vs Cristo Rey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MER
0 - 3
HER
14%
16%
70%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HER
13 - 0
ATL
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 2
HER
31%
22%
48%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HER
3 - 0
PAS
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
HER
24%
21%
54%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cristo Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
CRI
2 - 2
OBR
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 3
CRI
26%
20%
55%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CRI
0 - 3
SPO
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 3
CRI
27%
20%
53%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CRI
0 - 2
ATL
29%
20%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |