Heracles vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
61.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
16º
14º
84
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
HER
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
SPA
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 5
HER
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 1
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HER
0 - 6
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
FEY
23%
20%
57%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
FEY
3 - 1
VOL
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FEY
1 - 2
PSV
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
FEY
1 - 3
ATM
28%
24%
47%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 4
FEY
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |