Henares DIV vs Complutense Alcala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henares DIV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
HEN
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HEN
2 - 4
CAB
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SDH
2 - 0
HEN
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HEN
4 - 1
ACA
38%
21%
41%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
HEN
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Complutense Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
COB
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 0
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 0
VDB
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DAG
4 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 1
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |