Henan FC vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
15º
10º
53
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 4
HEN
12%
23%
65%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
1 - 1
SHA
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
3 - 0
SHE
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 3
SHA
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 1
HEN
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CBC
0 - 4
SHA
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
4 - 0
CBC
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
CBC
3 - 0
DAL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
CBC
3 - 1
WUZ
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
CBC
1 - 0
WFC
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |