Heerenveen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
SCH
3 - 0
FCE
65%
20%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
SCH
2 - 2
VVV
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
SCH
38%
23%
38%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
GRO
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 0
SCH
14%
19%
68%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 4
FEY
11%
17%
72%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
FCE
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |