Europa League 1/64
Global 2-0
Heart of Midlothian vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 4
GLA
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
KIL
0 - 2
HOM
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
HIB
1 - 0
HOM
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ZEL
2 - 3
ČEL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SIR
2 - 0
ZEL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
ZEL
3 - 0
BBL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
ANO
1 - 3
ZEL
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
LEO
0 - 0
ZEL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |