Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
8º
3º
78
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 2
HIB
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 1
HOM
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
HOM
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
KIL
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 2
LAZ
19%
21%
60%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MHE
1 - 2
CEL
24%
23%
54%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 3
CEL
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
FEY
2 - 0
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |