Hartlepool United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
HUR
2 - 1
HAR
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 0
LEY
51%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 1
KET
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BHA
3 - 3
HAR
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 0
TRA
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 2
NOR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SOU
1 - 3
BHA
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
BRO
2 - 3
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LEY
2 - 2
SOU
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |