Zhejiang FC vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zhejiang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
HEN
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 5
HAN
8%
18%
74%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
4 - 1
HAN
28%
22%
50%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BEI
0 - 1
HAN
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
DAL
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 2
SYD
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
MCI
0 - 0
VEN
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 2
MCI
6%
13%
82%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 0
WPH
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OAK
2 - 3
MCI
7%
13%
80%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |