Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
1º
46
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
0 - 0
HAM
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
HAM
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 0
FLO
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SIR
0 - 2
HAM
19%
25%
57%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
3 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FLO
1 - 1
MOS
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
SIR
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PIE
1 - 4
MOS
23%
22%
54%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 5
HIB
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |