Hamrun Spartans vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 2
HAM
40%
25%
36%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
MAR
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 4
HAM
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SLI
0 - 0
HAM
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 2
HAM
40%
25%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 2
NAX
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
BIR
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 1
BAL
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
BIR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |